Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77389a8629ea67adfaefd7617eb252de339e4a0dd7e31ff5fb94d46188348a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 3,865$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.53 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 47c | 2,458$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed Over | 47c | 2,088$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Over | 47c | 1,780$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.69 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 999.98$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 47c | 945.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.62 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 47c | 629.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Over | 43c | 500.1$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…2911backed Over | 47c | 423.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 54c | 331.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 47c | 240.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Over | 47c | 131.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 44c | 86.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 47c | 47.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 55c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 34.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 41c | 30.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.