Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24cae967c5232b204069d79da48906b40c16f363ed6fe1fae9b51c6cfce2e45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Yes | 45c | 8,805$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.55 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 5,017$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…e9fbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,017$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 61c | 1,667$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.02 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 9c | 1,583$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 50c | 717.72$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 49c | 411.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 71c | 399.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 5c | 330.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 288.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 274.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 257.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…37b9backed No | 45c | 245.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 46c | 238.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed No | 51c | 210.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 55c | 204$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…8d6dbacked Yes | 46c | 193.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…0a09backed No | 79c | 185.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 171.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed No | 55c | 163.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…9712backed No | 64c | 156.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 147.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 141.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…6800backed No | 48c | 133.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 128.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 55c | 123.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…14f3backed Yes | 57c | 123.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 60c | 108.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed No | 78c | 89.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 87.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…8b12backed No | 61c | 80.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 54 | 88.9%48 W · 6 L | +12.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +40%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 77.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 59c | 75.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 48c | 68.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1ca5backed No | 48c | 64.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 55c | 61.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 61.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…6e78backed Yes | 75c | 60.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 60.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 23c | 60.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked No | 75c | 58.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…efccbacked No | 52c | 57.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed No | 40c | 55.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 24c | 53.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…c6c8backed No | 47c | 53.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b9…bee4backed No | 45c | 51.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…70ebbacked Yes | 58c | 50.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 48c | 48.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 62c | 46.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 45.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 56c | 43.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…b43cbacked No | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…187dbacked No | 48c | 40.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed Yes | 63c | 40.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 38.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…d7cdbacked Yes | 62c | 37.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…1783backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 30.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 39c | 25.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…be53backed No | 72c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed No | 54c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 72c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 61c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…cd67backed No | 76c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 61c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…501fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.