TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc13…5eb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
685
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT51762.3%322 W · 195 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 517 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$7.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$6.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$142
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$58.02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$143
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.95
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$234.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.79
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$124.89
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35%+$31.32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57%+$85.06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$95.14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.03
Showing 25 of 517 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.22
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.66
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.59
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.49
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.83
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.09
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.67
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$55.78
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$3.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.87
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89.98
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.6%+$21.71
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.72
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$170.5
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.67
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.73
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.94
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.65
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.23
Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.97
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.65
Princeton Tigers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (W)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.13
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.85
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.85
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.85
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-2.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.85
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.86
Wichita State Shockers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.77
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Muttley Crew (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.74
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Counter-Strike: NuTorious vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$255.27
Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.01
Counter-Strike: K27 vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)backed Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.47
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs ENCE Academy (+1.5)backed ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.82
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+68.4%+$8.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.65
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$39.4
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.85
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.13
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.34
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.71
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.17
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.75
Lightning vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$117.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.89
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.47
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.41
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick56cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.51
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.77
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.