CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e752d2ab5eb4b3140ff1f2a48998ec39d805848df14eb6a3729aea56fc27b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc537…f385backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 61c | 979.66$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.66 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 66c | 968$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 750$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 513.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 492.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 48c | 460.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…f2debacked Over | 56c | 421.05$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 15c | 408.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 396.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 40c | 247.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…45dbbacked Under | 35c | 172.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 166.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Over | 12c | 152.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 48c | 100.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 23c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 47c | 74.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 59c | 43.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…1059backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Over | 38c | 31.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Over | 70c | 23.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.