Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1d40e972562f7982d97ab30ffcff9b2dd85867d60abd332f597c6b7d893650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,322 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 40c | 3,785$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 3,530$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.56 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 53c | 2,843$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,045$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 46c | 1,764$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 991.95$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 62c | 890.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 60c | 732.59$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 643.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 18c | 596.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 594.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 61c | 528.39$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 179.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 26c | 169.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 62c | 145.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 69c | 144.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 61c | 134.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 61c | 127.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 61c | 81.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Over | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…c9ccbacked Over | 61c | 63.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Over | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 38c | 52.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 61c | 51.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 61c | 49.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 39c | 35.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 38c | 32.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Over | 68c | 29.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 37c | 27.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Under | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 61c | 16.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.