Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b77e7c911587e4b9b6606a3cd3eaaf9096543c1304fa89c804bd24c52db6128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 5,890$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 64c | 4,432$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 39c | 3,837$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 1,404$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.67 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,066$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.74 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 871.79$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 52c | 762.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 38c | 755.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 61c | 734.85$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 39c | 629.87$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 46c | 272.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 270.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 208.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 205.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 12c | 181.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 39c | 180.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 127.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 77c | 122.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 103.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 100.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 61c | 98.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 36c | 76.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 63.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 60c | 54.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Over | 45c | 53.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 61c | 53.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 61c | 48.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 53c | 40.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 54c | 38.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 61c | 35.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Under | 61c | 35.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 64c | 33.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 77c | 26.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Under | 63c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 63c | 21.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 62c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.