TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd35…17debacked Over74c31,058$23,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,987.151963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c22,881$6,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,526.533,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Over72c11,800$8,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c9,711$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.4691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c8,358$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.7284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423e…e72ebacked Under28c5,921$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201d…8872backed Under28c5,828$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over65c4,997$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7495635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under27c4,403$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.6911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over67c4,200$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39510034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.72781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c4,006$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.512,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ed…d6b5backed Over67c3,999$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…8dd1backed Under28c3,998$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under8c3,398$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…73b6backed Under28c2,532$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…6b27backed Over73c2,263$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.331090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.998124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…23debacked Under28c1,844$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c1,542$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.548165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…1aacbacked Over72c1,415$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over73c1,340$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Over74c1,328$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over72c1,281$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over74c1,165$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.061250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…067abacked Under28c1,124$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over70c1,085$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ac…62f4backed Over63c948.39$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5d…991abacked Over72c867$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9811…8976backed Over72c649$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4d…3c94backed Over72c622$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over72c573.83$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…bf84backed Over72c556$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over75c552.25$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over75c515.35$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.842157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x178a…c089backed Over72c513$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.54250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c499.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4c…4b7fbacked Over72c494$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…8cb5backed Over72c489$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over71c453$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.594425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9d7…968dbacked Over72c439$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc3…7097backed Over72c422$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9203…458cbacked Over72c406$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98e7…8b75backed Over72c399$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over74c393.24$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b23…356abacked Over72c383$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over72c382.63$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.134757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e7…fdfabacked Over72c363$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c359.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…f2febacked Over72c308$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8724655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Over74c299.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over67c298.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.63455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over72c278$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.843375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c274.24$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.762,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under26c272.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd996…1fa3backed Over72c254$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b21…2fffbacked Over72c249$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over70c242.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.862441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1be…2cc3backed Over72c240.17$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7e…d218backed Over75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3615…c3b6backed Over72c237$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.78046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over71c225$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2510554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ec…4a86backed Over72c220$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over72c173.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over73c159.59$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.595358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2795…250cbacked Over72c154$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c144.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6910963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…e7d2backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x848c…6d16backed Over73c129.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over69c117.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over69c108.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.189164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under25c107.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9936136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under27c101.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4216856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52c…2371backed Over72c91.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9214641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.