TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over26c136,717$36,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,023.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c79,666$55,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,026.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over31c36,160$11,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0602166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under75c25,210$18,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.6643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c22,863$16,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.72,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under71c21,067$15,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.8884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Over25c18,567$4,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,641.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under74c11,126$8,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.4633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…70e5backed Under74c10,895$8,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under69c6,442$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.925259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa94f…1643backed Over26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85d…b4e4backed Over26c4,892$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f89…4f68backed Under76c4,308$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under73c4,076$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.1538247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over25c3,428$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…45cabacked Under75c3,181$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf664…22c3backed Over25c2,980$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…4110backed Under75c2,863$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc505…9955backed Over25c2,536$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…89d4backed Over25c2,535$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe211…2b66backed Under76c2,355$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b68…5f13backed Under75c2,176$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fd…25e2backed Over25c2,096$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over47c2,000$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.591963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x178c…c807backed Over25c1,943$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under72c1,875$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2412955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6305…71fbbacked Over25c1,782$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb896…213abacked Under75c1,760$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over26c1,750$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c3…6533backed Under76c1,741$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over44c1,723$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda62…5f64backed Over25c1,709$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4346…cd80backed Under75c1,704$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c1,565$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62110034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8186…38ebbacked Under75c1,533$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e66…6bcabacked Under75c1,532$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under73c1,504$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d51…6bc6backed Under76c1,476$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf994…8c0cbacked Under75c1,468$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a27…97b5backed Under75c1,425$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…c802backed Over25c1,385$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over30c1,376$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1e…b7a5backed Under75c1,360$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…5307backed Under76c1,332$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under64c1,289$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.393369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb44…48b9backed Under76c1,269$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e3…a0ffbacked Over25c1,238$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bc…61c4backed Under76c1,196$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa830…6dc4backed Under75c1,190$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75e…b6bbbacked Over25c1,183$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…32febacked Over25c1,179$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6db…7d7abacked Over25c1,173$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…8076backed Under75c1,166$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87db…5236backed Over25c1,110$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cb…1110backed Under76c1,069$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f0…e44fbacked Under75c1,056$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df3…6dccbacked Over25c1,043$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a49…50bcbacked Over23c1,040$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2043backed Under76c1,024$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under68c971.31$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb84…a83fbacked Under76c895$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…8a0fbacked Under75c890$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b6…636abacked Under75c886$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2f…c952backed Over25c875$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ef…5c61backed Under75c853$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78cd…4723backed Over25c852.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4a…f8d7backed Over25c849$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a3…1bb3backed Under75c842$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862e…4d05backed Over25c820$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over24c816$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.842634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0917…a2a2backed Over25c814$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over28c791.27$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.842450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf7…b425backed Under75c786$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…d0c1backed Under75c785$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…a23ebacked Under76c773$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72b…00ffbacked Under75c770$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over46c768.26$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20d…a407backed Under75c730$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under64c723.12$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.226950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over25c675.54$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf0…1547backed Under75c672$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c664.01$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…877fbacked Over25c657$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19eb…d0fabacked Over25c614$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abf…cbe8backed Under75c606$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under73c600$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7501…3c6bbacked Under76c592$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9574…7208backed Under76c588$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a5…9545backed Under75c569$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…0b14backed Under76c558$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under73c540$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4410…4135backed Under76c539$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b86…2ab5backed Under75c537$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac3…c649backed Under75c524$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over26c520$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.250%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.