TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$695,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$819,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under55c325,352$177,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177,550.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over47c52,983$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,983.442166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over46c44,444$20,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.765846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over45c44,234$19,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,328.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over40c38,082$15,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,666.35635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c37,770$16,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,773.7544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c24,368$11,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,342.923,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick6cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over45c14,444$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,944.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under55c14,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,700757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Over44c11,214$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over46c10,999$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c10,947$5,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,805.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over45c7,914$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.65100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Over47c7,856$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over46c7,222$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.881275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over46c5,975$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.544949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c5,941$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.2815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over45c5,232$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.452050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.443959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c4,315$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.1933349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c4,185$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.3891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Over48c3,706$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over45c3,430$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c3,350$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.0252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over46c3,230$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.433033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over74c2,760$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.931040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c2,356$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.7284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over46c2,230$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.998124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.983151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over54c1,867$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.672133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Over47c1,773$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over55c1,725$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over46c1,480$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2811226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over43c1,406$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.9310034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over46c1,334$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.232560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over46c1,210$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.234425%11 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.967054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c1,056$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.567755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Under51c999.96$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0da…6fc6backed Over46c913.26$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9a…002bbacked Over45c864.06$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over47c854.53$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.92532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Under55c831.13$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over46c758$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.324136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over47c750$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3951861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c706.03$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c684.65$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.88165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.176944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over48c618.05$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over45c608.8$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.844459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over44c607.5$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.26858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over78c601$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over47c577.38$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c561$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.561090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under55c545$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over44c503.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Over77c499.33$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c464.84$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c435.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.124045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+170%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76c3…116abacked Over78c422.01$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe042…5e6bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over46c405.57$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.384047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Over77c388.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Over58c339.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3317447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over46c311.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.481457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over45c311.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Under55c308.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over78c307.6$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over66c302.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over47c299.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.616950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c263.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4310941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over44c254$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2413149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.16154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over46c223.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.911526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.