TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0020…e241

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT7951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$243.95
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.54
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.47
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.28
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$115.39
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.28
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.73
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.27
Will Göztepe SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+297.3%+$431.1
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$355
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.9%+$287.98
Will Kocaelispor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+354.5%+$460.91
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.7%+$219.34
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$123.1
Will Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$92.47
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+372.6%+$372.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$207.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$101.46
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.28
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$38.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$133.33
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$147.29
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+50%+$12.5
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$235.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$270.61
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+400%+$112
Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+185.7%+$30.07
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+267%+$80.11
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.71
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.93
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.99
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$8,599.99
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-61.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.92
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.6%+$88.69
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150.48
Will AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$66.78
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-58.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+45.5%+$28.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.