TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,542,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,402,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,542,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes64c249,498$160,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,158.7114544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No36c240,000$86,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,599.7720140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c172,002$109,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,948.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c149,908$30,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,494.016,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No35c119,998$42,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,598.4118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No36c98,452$35,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,009.1915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c87,322$55,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,374.251,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c80,860$29,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,774.922,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c76,971$27,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,566.0231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No37c62,000$22,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,06015949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No36c52,547$18,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,845.649141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No37c42,900$15,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0278453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x689a…d5dbbacked No36c42,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,799.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c41,145$14,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,184.0312847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes64c40,323$25,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,806.4527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes69c40,018$27,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,535.3527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c39,201$13,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,230.821,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c37,683$24,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,549.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No36c37,220$13,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,005.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c35,611$13,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,484.7510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes52c35,540$18,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,343.258153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Yes64c33,176$21,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,232.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No37c31,600$11,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,9087542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes65c30,769$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No37c30,000$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,042.598146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No35c25,802$9,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,693.323759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes64c25,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0003633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes66c24,900$16,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,434250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No53c24,748$13,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,703.3967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No36c24,332$8,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,572.341553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes64c23,499$15,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,027.247147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No37c21,880$8,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,784.3410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked No36c20,337$7,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,930.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No46c18,927$8,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,222.043473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c18,500$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,839.9424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No36c18,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,52015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes33c17,658$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.1423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No36c16,958$6,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,936.757653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c16,772$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,733.7935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No36c16,366$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,492.7715748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes32c16,195$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.174,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1e1…e11bbacked Yes0c15,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes64c12,950$8,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,285.6830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes65c11,903$7,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,736.7223350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes35c11,192$3,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,958.1910042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes21c10,255$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.1428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.962040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.816651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c9,354$4,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6a…4694backed Yes65c9,331$6,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,065.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No7c9,302$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,633.055232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes64c8,627$5,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,521.051,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No36c8,493$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,470.8825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No37c8,471$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,336.96043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No36c8,458$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.664052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No35c8,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.9979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No30c7,829$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.6326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes64c7,692$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.992650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes65c7,688$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.43551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes64c7,677$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,892.1325648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes63c7,520$4,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.846136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No35c7,109$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.987750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes64c7,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4801758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes64c6,781$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.813944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes44c6,481$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No36c6,412$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.639358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…3e05backed No36c6,300$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+334.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No36c6,169$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.2913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes65c5,044$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.413348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.9613444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x598e…2305backed Yes64c4,984$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes64c4,951$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed No37c4,951$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed No37c4,951$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Yes64c4,951$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c4,846$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.361,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No36c4,825$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.993351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No36c4,800$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.966046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes64c4,781$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.2120246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes64c4,688$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No34c4,685$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.377048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No39c4,612$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.4861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No36c4,600$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,93331053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes66c4,545$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No36c4,500$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.9810743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No15c4,487$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.261,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No2c4,288$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.266240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes64c4,244$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6991030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c4,210$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.8385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes63c4,171$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.5117634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No38c4,163$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.2114845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83b…def4backed Yes64c4,106$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick65cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No60c4,089$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.8441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes64c4,063$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No36c4,052$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.754052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.