TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c36,179$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.158531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes14c22,291$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.7115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c13,341$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.2924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes9c10,553$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes16c9,376$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.161952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes12c9,133$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.592,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes14c7,826$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.0215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes8c5,762$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.081,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes1c5,216$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.482437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes12c4,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.921926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-60.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Yes5c4,500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes16c4,078$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56011346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed Yes3c4,000$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed5…ce97backed Yes7c2,596$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.511850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes14c2,508$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.126737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes3c2,284$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes8c2,241$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6211125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes4c2,058$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes15c2,053$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes16c1,921$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.196136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes7c1,776$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3313727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes5c1,745$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes15c1,733$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes4c1,542$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes15c1,420$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1f…ca06backed Yes4c1,294$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+185.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebf…9754backed Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes16c1,147$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17922534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes4c1,076$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.65922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes4c1,050$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes16c1,049$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c925.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6411712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60fa…b0dbbacked Yes14c850$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c823.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7123632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Yes16c735.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.632133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e4…3342backed Yes3c707.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…eee2backed Yes15c690$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes16c642.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.063630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb5…f7cebacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes8c603.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.577048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes11c563.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes16c504$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.642850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes12c499.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes7c499.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.986720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Yes14c455.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.86728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes15c452.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.865939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes16c437$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.927830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes15c391.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.685143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes11c378.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd022…1856backed Yes16c365.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes15c354.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.223531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes6c353.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.285111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes15c353.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532839.3%11 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes15c349.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.371,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes5c320.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes11c320$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes15c313$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.954557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes7c307.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes15c306.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.961533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486327%17 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes8c295$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44c…dbc7backed Yes15c289.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes11c289.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.191050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes16c263.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.913630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d88…35c6backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes8c249$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes16c245.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0113939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes11c229.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0898…42d5backed Yes14c220$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes16c206.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.084551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2290…eddebacked Yes16c205.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.578836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe876…42b6backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d4…e673backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+149.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes9c190.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c187.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb238…6274backed Yes11c179.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes9c178$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4117634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Yes16c176$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes10c174.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1667backed Yes16c155$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+128.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05c…951ebacked Yes16c146.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.