TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes21c30,258$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,903.915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c27,916$21,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,977.442,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No79c17,548$13,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,86312847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c17,239$5,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,927.814,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c13,358$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,949.456,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No79c10,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.972875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c9,581$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.922,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Yes22c9,157$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,157.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No79c5,341$4,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.559856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked No79c5,200$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1082458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c3,783$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.831,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes57c3,211$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No31c2,938$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.6926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes10c2,587$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.36121.3%13 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+183%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c2,478$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.027332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes21c2,241$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.722420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No21c2,168$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c2,090$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.9267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No79c2,082$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6455939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c2,020$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.371,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes72c1,643$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes14c1,569$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.062657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c1,512$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.321,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1856829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes21c1,424$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.816437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes21c1,400$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No67c1,359$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.6761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes79c1,355$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes21c1,333$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.3319239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No79c1,275$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.2514166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes24c1,271$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.216136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x393a…e88bbacked Yes21c1,200$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9481100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes34c1,166$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.57048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c1,100$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.983971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83011125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes13c999.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.2982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes51c982.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.764344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes22c786.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.36450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+138.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes3c757.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.646420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes6c745.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.2817634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes65c718.81$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.18540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes46c665.38$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.318062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c600.06$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes66c600$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.482466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No79c551$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No79c543$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.971650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…38cfbacked No77c490$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…c4a2backed Yes72c488.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1910626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Yes66c378.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes64c350$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…bd53backed Yes67c335.6$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.63070%21 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No78c313$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8527454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No76c305.67$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2121049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes69c300.69$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb39…9d0cbacked Yes10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+400%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2372254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c280$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Yes63c278.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.921850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No71c276.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3810341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes22c273.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.613630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes19c263.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.154744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes22c255$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.94557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…5a41backed Yes22c254.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No64c249.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5527…03acbacked Yes21c247.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes24c243$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1e0fbacked Yes71c239.08$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes22c238.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.355143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e3…670fbacked Yes13c235.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.279961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d19…3dc4backed Yes21c215.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No48c208.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes22c204.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.554665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e9…4c3cbacked Yes57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0c…ad21backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No77c199.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked Yes13c199.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.98922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Yes22c193.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.892343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes22c190.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+117.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd30a…70ebbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+103.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No64c182.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b7…b46fbacked Yes52c180.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes22c178.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.264533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes58c173.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c173$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Yes14c164.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+138.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes53c151.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.347143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes70c143.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.671030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes50c141.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.675058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c138.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.