TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb70…bd53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.59
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.96
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24.67
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$23.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$523.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37.4%+$145.82
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+48.5%+$109.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,760
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.4%+$296.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$139.09
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+79.5%+$105.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+34.5%+$31.03
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.85
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$27.6
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.67
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$29.2
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.62
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+56.6%+$62.82
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$19.26
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$9.62
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.14
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.11
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$3.81
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.87
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.78
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.33
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.02
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.82
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.3%+$192.98
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$27.39
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.01
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.02
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$4.87
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$11.05
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.6
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.68
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$23.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$91.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.