Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a4b7ed34ee0b08a0a6dba1bde7f0c33570f5d3854ef8aadef39892e7f23cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, New Zealand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,085,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium | 66c | 149,998$98,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.38 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New Zealand | 34c | 120,320$40,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,636.04 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed New Zealand | 32c | 100,006$32,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,001.84 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Zealand | 29c | 98,954$28,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,223.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Belgium | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500.09 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Belgium | 67c | 36,766$24,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,123.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Belgium | 76c | 35,208$26,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,467.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed New Zealand | 32c | 32,333$10,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,346.53 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Belgium | 67c | 24,180$16,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.37 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…04a9backed Belgium | 68c | 23,529$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New Zealand | 18c | 22,608$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.5 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed New Zealand | 32c | 20,209$6,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.86 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Belgium | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Zealand | 34c | 19,039$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Belgium | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Zealand | 32c | 13,028$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium | 66c | 12,475$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Belgium | 77c | 10,390$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.61 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed New Zealand | 3c | 10,090$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed New Zealand | 33c | 10,000$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.15 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Belgium | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked New Zealand | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.14 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Belgium | 68c | 8,520$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.55 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed New Zealand | 33c | 8,468$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.44 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New Zealand | 15c | 8,427$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked New Zealand | 33c | 8,421$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.94 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Belgium | 80c | 8,263$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.7 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New Zealand | 21c | 8,021$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.5 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Belgium | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Belgium | 66c | 7,160$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.04 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed New Zealand | 33c | 7,000$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.98 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium | 68c | 6,607$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.55 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Belgium | 77c | 6,581$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.7 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked New Zealand | 33c | 6,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed New Zealand | 43c | 5,621$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.37 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Belgium | 66c | 5,555$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New Zealand | 16c | 5,184$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.97 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New Zealand | 34c | 5,094$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.96 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Zealand | 24c | 5,021$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Belgium | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Belgium | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Belgium | 67c | 4,777$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.9 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed New Zealand | 33c | 4,545$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.24 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Belgium | 74c | 4,415$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.69 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New Zealand | 34c | 4,085$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.74 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed New Zealand | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New Zealand | 34c | 3,961$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.62 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Belgium | 73c | 3,932$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.23 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…aa54backed Belgium | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New Zealand | 36c | 3,640$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.37 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked New Zealand | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed New Zealand | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed New Zealand | 34c | 3,460$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.95 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Belgium | 68c | 3,457$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.98 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Belgium | 67c | 3,300$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked New Zealand | 34c | 3,008$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Belgium | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed New Zealand | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed New Zealand | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed New Zealand | 34c | 2,998$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.32 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Belgium | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Belgium | 73c | 2,973$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.67 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Belgium | 74c | 2,936$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.49 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium | 68c | 2,818$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Belgium | 65c | 2,691$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.82 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Belgium | 73c | 2,662$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.36 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New Zealand | 12c | 2,603$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Belgium | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed New Zealand | 33c | 2,400$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Belgium | 78c | 2,336$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.07 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Belgium | 67c | 2,230$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.9 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Belgium | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…dbddbacked Belgium | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed Belgium | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Belgium | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Belgium | 76c | 1,848$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.96 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e57ebacked New Zealand | 33c | 1,770$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Belgium | 66c | 1,752$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.68 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New Zealand | 34c | 1,749$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Belgium | 68c | 1,662$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.75 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium | 75c | 1,610$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.71 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Belgium | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Belgium | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Belgium | 66c | 1,504$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Belgium | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Belgium | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New Zealand | 32c | 1,478$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…49acbacked Belgium | 68c | 1,455$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…540bbacked Belgium | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Belgium | 68c | 1,258$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.64 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed New Zealand | 35c | 1,250$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed New Zealand | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Belgium | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Belgium | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed New Zealand | 33c | 1,172$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.82 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed New Zealand | 33c | 1,111$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed New Zealand | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Belgium | 66c | 1,105$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.58 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Belgium | 67c | 1,103$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.52 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…5478backed Belgium | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.