TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c38,710$16,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,946.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c19,542$12,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,521.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under5c6,300$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under75c6,264$4,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,713.34472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over56c5,433$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.831,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under60c4,565$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c4,125$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.241,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over35c3,594$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c3,551$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.423,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under47c3,420$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.43333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c3,154$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under61c2,739$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6772763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c2,568$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Under47c2,432$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1431957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c2,300$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c2,226$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30065737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c1,949$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under45c1,921$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.342,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over55c1,180$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53119750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c1,054$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c1,029$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over28c1,007$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6979149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under45c999.99$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44912862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c976.51$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Under65c928.29$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.398847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over28c925$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66677051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c792.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.269912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over29c688$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under44c648.81$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c646.98$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over74c605.6$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.231,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under49c580$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.213543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over55c564.27$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2712556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under69c545.89$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.721,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under47c537.66$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.76765.7%44 W · 23 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c533.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over37c528.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.058651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under75c525$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under51c482.13$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c456.56$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.382,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under70c452$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.641,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c396.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under47c394.26$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.33525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.66952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over55c379.19$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under56c355.91$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under70c337.42$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over56c334.5$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.189058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over38c308.08$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.013517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under54c306.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16420841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over28c304$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3637352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.791,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c299.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over71c299.82$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.959573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7130547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under62c257.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over28c250.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8445548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c241.05$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.582,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Over54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over45c210.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9046525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over55c182.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5616160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over54c178.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.441,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4451045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4140435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7a…4329backed Over57c171.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c171.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfafa…e6babacked Over56c167.84$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.857149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under56c161.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.662147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c153.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.011,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under55c137$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.354858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over28c136.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7229556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Over28c136$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.595961%36 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over25c135.24$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Over27c134$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3410335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.546743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over54c125.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under47c121.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Under45c115.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223943.1%103 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c108.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.692,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4914…722ebacked Over54c102.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.942832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over44c100.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.851,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.