TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c1,417$1,034 inWon+$383.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under25c622.46$159 inLost-$158.711,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under30c500$150 inLost-$15095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under30c405$122 inLost-$121.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c252.96$194 inWon+$58.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over75c140$105 inWon+$3526738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over70c124.29$87 inWon+$37.292,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c119.63$29 inLost-$29.343,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee3…e44ebacked Under25c98.99$24 inLost-$24.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c94.21$19 inLost-$19.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c85.21$22 inLost-$21.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c46.84$16 inLost-$16.331,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Over60c43.1$26 inWon+$17.2415127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over65c40$26 inWon+$1420651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over70c35$25 inWon+$10.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over73c30$22 inWon+$8.139956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…5a76backed Over74c14.86$11 inWon+$3.866068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.