Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6487bf737d84600ebc8d2e26755c8335b66b45b285ba34878647be969adf5915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 17,436$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 10c | 2,446$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 1,598$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 27c | 1,561$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 28c | 1,531$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 20c | 1,215$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 28c | 1,189$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 12c | 707.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 17c | 600.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 25c | 534.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 512.39$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 510.9$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 507.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Over | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 16c | 487.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 20c | 465.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 246.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 18c | 153.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 126.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 80c | 117.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 28c | 104.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 91.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…5f9ebacked Over | 28c | 90.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Over | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 67.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 72c | 66.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 72c | 66.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Under | 72c | 56.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Under | 79c | 52.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 79c | 41.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 78 | 70.5%55 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 78c | 28.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 73c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.