Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98a7968d1039f08563abf2eba842636cf58030be550d5d3f4548fe9d97f4fbb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof Belgium, New Zealand
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,733,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,798,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,733,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 863 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed New Zealand	55c	933,547$512,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512,683.29	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Belgium	45c	650,000$292,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357,499.97	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium	44c	250,000$110,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139,999.91	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Belgium	45c	227,248$102,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124,986.33	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New Zealand	55c	101,960$56,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,060.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Belgium	45c	101,678$45,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,922.72	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked New Zealand	56c	67,130$37,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,592.79	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Belgium	46c	64,825$29,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,306.08	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Belgium	48c	59,125$28,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,756.32	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed New Zealand	54c	51,000$27,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,540	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed New Zealand	55c	44,444$24,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,444.17	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Belgium	45c	40,071$18,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,039.05	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Belgium	44c	37,655$16,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,088.79	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed New Zealand	57c	35,000$19,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,949.94	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Belgium	43c	35,000$15,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,949.78	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed New Zealand	56c	33,647$18,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,707.83	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium	61c	27,981$17,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,777.85	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked New Zealand	56c	26,786$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Belgium	45c	25,462$11,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,018.56	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Belgium	49c	24,777$12,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,636.45	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked New Zealand	55c	22,500$12,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,374.95	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Belgium	47c	21,277$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,276.6	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Belgium	46c	20,527$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,076.33	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked New Zealand	57c	20,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,399.95	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed New Zealand	51c	19,608$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed New Zealand	56c	17,857$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked New Zealand	56c	17,857$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed New Zealand	57c	17,537$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked New Zealand	57c	16,930$9,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,650	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed New Zealand	57c	16,716$9,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,527.86	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium	47c	15,033$7,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,928.54	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Belgium	40c	14,977$6,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,969.66	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked New Zealand	57c	13,372$7,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,622.04	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed New Zealand	37c	13,354$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	89	13.5%12 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Zealand	49c	13,335$6,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,504.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Belgium	44c	13,139$5,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,303.72	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New Zealand	58c	11,987$6,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,952.21	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Belgium	55c	10,802$5,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,896	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed New Zealand	55c	10,315$5,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,666.7	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked New Zealand	54c	10,200$5,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,508	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked New Zealand	50c	10,002$5,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,001	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New Zealand	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Belgium	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed New Zealand	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Belgium	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Belgium	56c	9,774$5,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,304.95	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked New Zealand	55c	9,712$5,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,338.52	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New Zealand	53c	9,550$5,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,050.09	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked New Zealand	51c	9,480$4,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,834.8	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked New Zealand	56c	9,416$5,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,273.03	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Belgium	44c	8,973$3,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,017.71	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Belgium	47c	8,899$4,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,703.68	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked New Zealand	57c	8,000$4,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,519.99	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked New Zealand	58c	7,854$4,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,555.43	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Belgium	42c	7,600$3,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,408	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Belgium	44c	7,600$3,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,256	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Belgium	46c	7,593$3,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100.22	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked New Zealand	34c	7,584$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.53	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Belgium	45c	7,524$3,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,137.96	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New Zealand	55c	7,420$4,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,081.03	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed New Zealand	56c	6,827$3,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,823.29	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked New Zealand	46c	6,649$3,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,053.57	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Belgium	78c	6,641$5,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.4	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Belgium	43c	6,546$2,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,698.94	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Belgium	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,382.98	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Belgium	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,382.98	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Belgium	44c	5,555$2,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,110.79	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New Zealand	17c	5,525$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.51	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked New Zealand	56c	5,357$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.92	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Belgium	46c	5,039$2,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.94	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed New Zealand	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked New Zealand	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed New Zealand	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed New Zealand	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.99	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Belgium	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.99	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Belgium	44c	5,000$2,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,819.99	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed New Zealand	56c	4,998$2,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Belgium	64c	4,911$3,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,781.91	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Zealand	44c	4,823$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142.25	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Belgium	44c	4,635$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,595.81	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New Zealand	54c	4,473$2,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,394.76	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Belgium	47c	4,437$2,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,351.7	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New Zealand	55c	4,354$2,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.62	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Belgium	45c	4,300$1,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.19	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Belgium	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.31	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium	45c	3,939$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.27	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed New Zealand	55c	3,885$2,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.74	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed New Zealand	13c	3,880$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.5	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked New Zealand	55c	3,584$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971.13	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Belgium	43c	3,514$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.98	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Belgium	70c	3,500$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Belgium	44c	3,468$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.08	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Belgium	56c	3,411$1,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.71	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Belgium	46c	3,290$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,790.45	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Belgium	46c	3,261$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.87	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed New Zealand	5c	3,099$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.2	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Belgium	46c	3,000$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Belgium	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Belgium	55c	2,994$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350.13	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New Zealand	56c	2,879$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.54	294	49%144 W · 150 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)this page
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event