TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over55c40,076$22,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,042.0722348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c36,380$14,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,170.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c32,373$17,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,852.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c24,962$11,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,733.5977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over1c13,454$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c9,936$5,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,564.162,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under45c7,933$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.339647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c7,837$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under57c6,865$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.274472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under60c6,220$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.959440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under44c5,999$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.434856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over52c4,811$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Over50c4,429$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.498856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c4,317$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.2574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c4,150$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.041,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c4,079$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c3,724$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…6586backed Over46c3,640$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over51c3,344$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.3441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over56c2,321$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under62c2,284$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.5137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over45c2,209$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under44c2,160$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.836749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c2,048$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.437242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Over55c1,928$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.3815127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under54c1,849$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.411544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Under44c1,798$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.731520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Under74c1,757$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.764774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over3c1,750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under45c1,742$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.835137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under55c1,689$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.562,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over44c1,609$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.4736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5288052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under50c1,470$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Over3c1,467$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c1,455$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under67c1,396$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under63c1,273$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1519649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c1,250$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over50c1,240$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.429558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over1c1,216$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Over48c1,093$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.27852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5807343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c958.26$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c929.01$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c851.13$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.531,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under54c835.95$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.547757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over54c707.33$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7813542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Over48c659$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.135440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over19c650.06$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9721641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Over48c629$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.865735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c599.95$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9731046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over25c585.81$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under69c583.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3323440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over52c540.45$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c536.73$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.222,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over58c534.48$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under44c531$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3615246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c514.73$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.11,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over33c502.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over59c487.79$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under64c476.51$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.515955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over48c417.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b0…7d6fbacked Over58c416.76$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a2…dbbcbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over49c367.74$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18227655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over34c364.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.091,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under44c362.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8615156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over57c352.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c327.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.431,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over44c309.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2221958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Under58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under47c294.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over47c292.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8229639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under45c292.27$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.868336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under80c289.85$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under46c288.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over30c285.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7117534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under44c253.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c251.93$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over37c250$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.954235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c249.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.971,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over52c232.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c230.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.