Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f7fed92d3e30d13f86579c9fc516ebbd8afea3b471b43364c264f7f3c1d7520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 33c | 4,444$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,672$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 807.31$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 743.93$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 644.72$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 594$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 46c | 558.6$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 530.32$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 512.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Under | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 342.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 337.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 58c | 275.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 57c | 250$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Over | 46c | 156.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 99.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 94.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Over | 43c | 45.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…3b32backed Under | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 59c | 30.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 29.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 47c | 21.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…cbe7backed Under | 60c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.