TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb272…5030backed Under38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.9821937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under37c7,249$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.3177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c6,198$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c5,153$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over62c3,503$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.311,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c3,454$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.882,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under45c3,196$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.846056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over55c2,246$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Under44c2,038$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.452437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over57c1,736$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.512,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over62c1,587$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1710051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c1,518$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.962,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c1,262$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c1,259$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under41c1,180$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd124…aa4dbacked Over61c1,041$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.981471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3809149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under42c951.26$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1931435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c821$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over62c643.55$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5517948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c601.81$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.032,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under42c586.79$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under50c575$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under41c567.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1720334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under46c565$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.917745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over59c505$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20521052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over60c503.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8337955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Under41c486.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1925842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c441.81$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.91,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c431.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over54c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.431046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked Under45c380$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ef…b4f0backed Under46c374.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.26139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over62c355.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2711746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under37c355.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.952,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3325528.6%73 W · 182 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Under46c290.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.58848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under44c285$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.357847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over78c280$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.169573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under38c260.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Under20c247.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Under39c247.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6548334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under38c220$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.721,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.818028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c209$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.312,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed Under39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.153729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under40c185.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under21c180.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over60c176.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.313,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4428646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0462452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c166.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under31c165$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.741444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9331149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2951045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Under43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.414640.4%59 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6d…52d3backed Over64c157.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.32433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c156.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.321,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under24c145.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Under38c114.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.566126.2%16 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c112$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Under38c108.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.48264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad3…b166backed Under46c108.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over55c104.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7214440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c102$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.712,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over58c101.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7713155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe54f…49dabacked Under44c101.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under38c101.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4529529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c100.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.092,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4533847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over62c98.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5912550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Over60c98.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9916052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Under44c98.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1828149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over56c97.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8329633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e6…a4b4backed Under45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Under42c94.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8926344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Under45c92.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.623236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x963c…3122backed Over57c89.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa43c…08a7backed Over62c86.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.992171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under39c85.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1619251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under54c81.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8821341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd05c…ade7backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6518441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.