TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,173 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40a7…ecb7backed No1c1,250$13 inLost-$12.519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Yes26c800$208 inWon+$5927153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c603.76$426 inLost-$425.93,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No74c599.99$444 inLost-$443.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon+$30028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c387.36$112 inWon+$275.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No69c296.49$205 inLost-$204.5826047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No70c268$188 inLost-$187.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No73c191.19$140 inLost-$139.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c171$127 inLost-$126.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c161.37$118 inLost-$117.623,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No70c158.33$110 inLost-$110.311,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…de6dbacked Yes32c151.06$48 inWon+$102.722951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No13c102.46$14 inLost-$13.772,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon+$66.7713037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes22c80.44$18 inWon+$62.81,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes22c75$17 inWon+$58.541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c70$18 inWon+$52.51,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c67.8$51 inLost-$51.284,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No78c58.8$46 inLost-$45.8372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No31c50.37$16 inLost-$15.852,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No71c50$36 inLost-$35.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No71c40.87$29 inLost-$28.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c36.47$26 inLost-$26.033,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No75c15$11 inLost-$11.2586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.