TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$784,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$810,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c122,062$36,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,232.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Over67c87,000$58,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,893.6115456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over67c66,666$44,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.7842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c50,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under29c42,620$12,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,512.442,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8005543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c16,926$11,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under20c15,872$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.4736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over77c14,864$11,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over75c13,985$10,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.0630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over65c13,981$9,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over76c13,109$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.971,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under23c9,544$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.842,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under10c8,951$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over69c8,200$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c8,156$6,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c8,128$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.7244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under26c6,667$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.515947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6716947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under26c6,040$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.51,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under1c5,980$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c5,977$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over64c5,642$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.1431435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over58c5,550$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.9628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over67c5,167$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.1814946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under38c4,972$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.5531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under29c4,811$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under25c3,860$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.9428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under23c3,438$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.81,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under36c3,325$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1979243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.324341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under19c3,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9913234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under33c2,950$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c2,861$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.172,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over75c2,597$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.7633544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c2,348$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.031,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under26c2,225$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4231232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…7a58backed Under15c2,133$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204637%17 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under24c2,109$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9619744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Under19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806637.9%25 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under26c1,964$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.426648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over62c1,957$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over72c1,914$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Under23c1,871$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.531915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f94…2615backed Under41c1,760$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under23c1,703$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under31c1,687$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6945536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Under19c1,535$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.449749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over63c1,520$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.7931046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under26c1,509$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3879149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1717453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under23c1,385$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4638026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under31c1,374$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.0663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Under25c1,360$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.73831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over72c1,229$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Under25c1,197$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Over60c1,180$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.937042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,135$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5131…e9efbacked Under18c1,131$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under26c1,069$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8523036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c1…c1a4backed Under35c1,008$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.81414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under23c901.24$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…9fe1backed Under24c877.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under24c841.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3333641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over74c832.22$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe553…c927backed Under24c820.83$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972520%5 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over78c794.08$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under13c770.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under24c757.26$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7414134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under10c725.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.371,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9316542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Over74c680$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.85554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6716441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under27c663.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.081,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under26c637.64$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under10c635.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.513935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x61cd…7d31backed Under22c630$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under26c622.75$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Under25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Under17c592.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under15c589.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c581.14$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.924,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over74c579.3$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over77c577.04$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.726272.6%45 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.