TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$737,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$763,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c105,621$26,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,095.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c71,433$54,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,558.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over21c56,249$12,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,199.451,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c40,819$13,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,468.381,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c30,227$7,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,095.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over34c30,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.9527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Under77c25,974$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c25,069$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c10,499$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under64c10,200$6,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5282334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+99.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9822437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.979823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under7c8,936$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Under58c8,082$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6924025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…9fe1backed Under64c7,695$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,945.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over36c7,270$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.277448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over27c7,127$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.492,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under72c6,932$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f94…2615backed Under74c6,347$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c6,100$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c6,030$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.1977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under50c5,990$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9949525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c5,864$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over11c5,527$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.6613059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under49c5,051$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c4,998$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under74c4,657$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.9351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c4,231$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under3c4,124$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under60c4,020$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.9563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Under75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1208052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over47c3,906$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.2149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under16c3,782$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under77c3,583$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.956352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over36c3,286$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.28243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c3,211$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2219218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under17c3,040$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5818929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over69c2,962$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under72c2,841$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.4313461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over24c2,801$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.7253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c2,756$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under65c2,722$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over35c2,703$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.0931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.728526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Under74c2,645$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.9424620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over36c2,620$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.112128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under67c2,599$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c2,527$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.1319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under66c2,500$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66127543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c2,480$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.291,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…80febacked Under77c2,476$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under41c2,421$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.641,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over26c2,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over54c2,128$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.7323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under25c2,120$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1628224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under70c2,068$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.2287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b4…a4f5backed Under72c2,055$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.152650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over17c2,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.999821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under76c1,940$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.4423558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under51c1,861$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.626534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under64c1,830$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1717153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over46c1,806$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.135435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over47c1,714$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.0520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under55c1,709$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.7998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Under63c1,693$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.466841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over37c1,680$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0661,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over34c1,672$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.4438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…425cbacked Under67c1,651$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0984459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over37c1,622$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.6289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under65c1,606$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04014564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c1,578$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ee…945dbacked Under64c1,551$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under43c1,516$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Over37c1,486$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.4921227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under33c1,462$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…ce17backed Under72c1,448$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.687140.8%29 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under73c1,433$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.9220334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over35c1,428$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.1971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under71c1,411$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under79c1,391$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over45c1,339$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under74c1,336$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98911149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c3…a272backed Under76c1,311$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903056.7%17 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked Under75c1,301$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.394257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over37c1,270$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.117747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under35c1,255$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.841,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under11c1,248$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.315726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over52c1,200$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under9c1,188$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.929912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over42c1,186$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7222932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over45c1,126$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.5121759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb79d…1ad9backed Under75c1,115$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over23c1,114$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c1,063$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.