Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce96b12a687f29fdc247f62712217cd6a98bf16a1efb49aad2799703265572f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $763,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 105,621$26,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,095.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 71,433$54,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,558.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 56,249$12,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,199.45 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 40,819$13,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,468.38 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 30,227$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,095.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.95 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Under | 77c | 25,974$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 76c | 25,069$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 10,499$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 64c | 10,200$6,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,528 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Over | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.98 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Under | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.97 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 7c | 8,936$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.89 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8140backed Under | 58c | 8,082$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…9fe1backed Under | 64c | 7,695$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Over | 36c | 7,270$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.27 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 27c | 7,127$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Under | 72c | 6,932$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…2615backed Under | 74c | 6,347$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 63c | 6,100$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 6,030$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.19 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 50c | 5,990$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 5,864$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 11c | 5,527$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.66 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 49c | 5,051$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 4,998$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.98 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 74c | 4,657$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.93 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 10c | 4,231$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.58 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 3c | 4,124$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Under | 60c | 4,020$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.95 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Under | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 47c | 3,906$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.21 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 3,782$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Under | 77c | 3,583$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.95 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 36c | 3,286$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.2 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 2c | 3,211$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under | 17c | 3,040$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.58 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 69c | 2,962$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under | 72c | 2,841$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.43 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 24c | 2,801$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.72 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 2,756$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.7 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 65c | 2,722$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.09 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Over | 35c | 2,703$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.09 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Under | 74c | 2,645$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.94 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 36c | 2,620$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 67c | 2,599$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.33 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 2,527$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.13 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Under | 66c | 2,500$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 70c | 2,480$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.29 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…80febacked Under | 77c | 2,476$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 41c | 2,421$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 26c | 2,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.32 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 54c | 2,128$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.73 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Under | 25c | 2,120$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.16 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 70c | 2,068$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.22 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Under | 72c | 2,055$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 1,940$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.44 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 51c | 1,861$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.6 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 64c | 1,830$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…9499backed Over | 46c | 1,806$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.13 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 47c | 1,714$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.05 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 55c | 1,709$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.79 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Under | 63c | 1,693$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.46 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 1,680$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 34c | 1,672$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.44 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Under | 67c | 1,651$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 65c | 1,606$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 5c | 1,578$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…945dbacked Under | 64c | 1,551$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 43c | 1,516$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.55 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Over | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.49 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 33c | 1,462$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.17 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…ce17backed Under | 72c | 1,448$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.68 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Under | 73c | 1,433$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.92 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.19 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Under | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Under | 79c | 1,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 45c | 1,339$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.05 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Under | 74c | 1,336$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…a272backed Under | 76c | 1,311$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Under | 75c | 1,301$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.39 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 37c | 1,270$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 35c | 1,255$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.84 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Under | 11c | 1,248$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Over | 52c | 1,200$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Under | 9c | 1,188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 42c | 1,186$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.72 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 45c | 1,126$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.51 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…1ad9backed Under | 75c | 1,115$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 1,114$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.21 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 70c | 1,063$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.43 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5this page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.