TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c18,975$6,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,236.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under13c10,423$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.0324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under24c8,489$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c7,035$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under34c5,107$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under33c3,644$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.6341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under13c3,333$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.1927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over67c3,030$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.910355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under28c2,731$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over74c2,702$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.6524341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under28c2,530$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9922932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under16c2,390$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2115929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under1c2,275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3826647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over75c2,139$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8912763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Over77c1,946$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.041656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under30c1,824$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under26c1,551$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4122933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ec…0959backed Under17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over67c1,304$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.691,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under19c1,303$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0414131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over78c1,277$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over80c1,230$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over71c1,147$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over76c1,020$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under10c891$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.19323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under15c860.3$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under17c778.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over71c764.04$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.051,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.585060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over66c696.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9727655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over72c692.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.835343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c635.6$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.31,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c629.11$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under2c556$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c519.93$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.862,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c517.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0146012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over69c505.52$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c493.04$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.362,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over70c461.15$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under26c455.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over69c452.13$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.311,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under12c428.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.081,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over75c424$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.886861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over77c424$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.886765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over73c401.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under24c401.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8317534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Over80c393.5$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Under28c360.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under30c358.24$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over80c327.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Over72c326.61$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4513941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under34c321.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9929558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over73c279.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.634231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under26c274$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under29c272.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.939525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Under19c250.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Over67c238.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under19c208.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.311126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over70c201$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3522153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over70c197.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over80c196.91$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.385863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8654…27f2backed Under25c187.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.684148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over68c183.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6113247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over80c183.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.714740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8970…f311backed Over68c175.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.934944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over78c175$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over77c162$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under21c160$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under27c157.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.579835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Under21c140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.618918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c128.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c125.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under17c113.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.745271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over77c100.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under23c97.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f2c…6998backed Under35c96.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.33135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under24c93.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7211338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under15c92.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6925455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c71.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c65.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over79c52.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.873,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3f…392ebacked Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over77c42.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8445145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.19667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over72c40.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3946562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216954.4%92 W · 77 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Over71c38.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.275052%26 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over75c34.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.342,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.