Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1371dc11ca2351723b8a7b4ec4ee59098b1f573886589b552859195aefe072e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 7,048$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 22c | 4,285$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.7 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 78c | 3,100$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.98 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 2,542$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,920$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 78c | 1,629$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 1,581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 1,269$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,086$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 11c | 818.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 784$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Yes | 18c | 589.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 9c | 542.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 498.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 20c | 470.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 23c | 419.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 13c | 359.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 14c | 298.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 17c | 291$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 18c | 220$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…de6dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 12c | 208.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 78c | 183.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 22c | 166.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 15c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…5a4ebacked Yes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 51c | 63.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 29.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 78c | 26.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.