TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$836,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c115,547$14,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,959.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c108,788$21,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,789.013,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over6c25,384$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,799.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under78c21,832$17,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,126.4164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over14c20,119$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,264.271,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked Under0c11,330$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.337565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under62c8,018$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under66c7,937$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.1641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under75c7,321$5,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,478.121,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over36c7,000$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under18c6,028$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.065139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over18c5,430$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.5116953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over14c5,243$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over8c5,225$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,828.2749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over21c4,687$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.4327931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Under16c4,333$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.631861.1%11 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.43per pick19cpaid+216.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under70c4,301$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over11c4,252$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.5338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over5c4,105$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.4121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over8c3,919$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.5944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under66c3,783$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.2163544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7494…ee81backed Under17c3,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under13c3,200$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over26c3,062$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.6515424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c3,011$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under80c2,783$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c2,715$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.562,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under69c2,435$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67312862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over13c2,434$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.491,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over19c2,367$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.5971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over24c2,343$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.4824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over16c2,311$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.7153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under75c2,200$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.561968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under80c2,187$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over35c2,168$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.0328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c2,122$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.91,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under78c2,054$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64eb…6bcabacked Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.40per pick18cpaid+207.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb750…c6ebbacked Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001384.6%11 W · 2 L+8.5wins+0.65per pick20cpaid+308.8%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Over79c1,784$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under63c1,700$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07111348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Under65c1,682$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed Under20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under67c1,472$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.074472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over21c1,429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.5789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over80c1,418$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6111254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Under3c1,408$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.371915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Over22c1,407$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.7519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over22c1,327$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.5736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c1,285$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c1,240$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.931,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over11c1,194$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.012,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under66c1,161$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.0515655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed Under80c1,144$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.121553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over20c1,127$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.153735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under78c1,107$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.85967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under68c1,078$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Over5c999.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.996144.3%27 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f94…2615backed Under66c999.97$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under80c999.96$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.9737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3832922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over21c947.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.6228526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over27c892.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.9938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under66c881.77$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.428224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over13c873$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.8141551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14cb…482dbacked Under76c815.86$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.56666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under70c801$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8627543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under63c793.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under78c773.86$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Over14c769.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0110233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c745.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.822,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over10c742.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over38c733.86$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under68c733.64$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over14c728$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under61c727.92$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2b…40f3backed Under69c700$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c662.84$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.282,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under66c634.33$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.841,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae4…7084backed Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013453%71 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under80c617.28$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.217047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over32c615.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5622932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over74c600$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.316861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Under15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over30c599.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3916152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over21c591.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Under80c585.3$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.245135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Under79c569.62$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under70c568.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015648.1%75 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over14c542.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5679149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over7c537.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under48c534.37$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.981,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.