Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51930becb77692cc4b5e51a87be262a13e922774e3de1dde84529fd89b338327

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof Belgium, New Zealand
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $427,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $423,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed New Zealand	69c	72,878$50,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,105.44	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Belgium	50c	40,027$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,027.07	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Belgium	26c	39,016$10,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,871.64	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Belgium	26c	29,989$7,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,122.89	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed New Zealand	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Belgium	25c	11,795$2,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,846.31	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Belgium	34c	10,270$3,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,727.47	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Belgium	71c	5,924$4,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,737.47	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New Zealand	70c	5,676$3,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,952.91	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed New Zealand	2c	5,264$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.49	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Belgium	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium	28c	4,926$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,551.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Belgium	28c	4,844$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,509.3	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked New Zealand	73c	4,110$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.28	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked New Zealand	77c	3,940$3,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,032	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed New Zealand	71c	3,672$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Belgium	17c	3,014$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,491.54	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium	27c	2,759$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,015.67	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked New Zealand	79c	2,528$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New Zealand	76c	2,399$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.64	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Belgium	39c	2,066$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.9	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked New Zealand	73c	2,016$1,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,476.52	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Belgium	26c	2,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.96	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New Zealand	72c	1,993$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.46	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed New Zealand	75c	1,990$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.69	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed New Zealand	57c	1,900$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed New Zealand	74c	1,639$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.7	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Belgium	32c	1,629$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.22	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Belgium	27c	1,555$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.22	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New Zealand	68c	1,371$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.23	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New Zealand	68c	1,346$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.01	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked New Zealand	74c	1,343$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.78	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Belgium	24c	1,292$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.67	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New Zealand	67c	1,214$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.64	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Belgium	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Belgium	23c	1,106$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.48	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Belgium	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked New Zealand	67c	1,096$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.36	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed New Zealand	66c	1,055$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.37	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Belgium	34c	1,006$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.18	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Belgium	27c	996.6$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.32	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Belgium	27c	897.14$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.91	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Belgium	35c	882.02$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.52	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New Zealand	72c	722.35$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.09	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe382…301bbacked Belgium	48c	708$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.16	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Belgium	27c	698.19$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.62	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Belgium	50c	641.02$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.51	199	44.7%89 W · 110 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed New Zealand	74c	632.6$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.06	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed New Zealand	74c	606.08$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.58	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed New Zealand	75c	604.72$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.54	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbe…595dbacked Belgium	26c	600$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Belgium	34c	595.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.27	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Belgium	23c	568.12$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.31	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Belgium	27c	559.46$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.41	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Belgium	19c	554.98$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.08	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed New Zealand	74c	540.54$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Belgium	21c	517.25$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.16	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked New Zealand	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	139	36%50 W · 89 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed New Zealand	73c	499.97$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.98	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belgium	16c	498.72$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.92	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed New Zealand	75c	494$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.57	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Belgium	42c	488.5$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.53	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked New Zealand	74c	448$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.52	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Belgium	36c	433.56$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.57	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Belgium	13c	432.36$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.17	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6cc…6f75backed New Zealand	48c	415.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed New Zealand	70c	412.59$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.06	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked New Zealand	74c	402.7$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	151	57.6%87 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Belgium	27c	400$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Belgium	26c	400$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed New Zealand	62c	400$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New Zealand	69c	398.41$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.4	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aae…b7d0backed New Zealand	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	115	53.9%62 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Belgium	26c	391.96$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.17	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed New Zealand	51c	374.62$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.66	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Belgium	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	220	32.3%71 W · 149 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Belgium	28c	357.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb407…c1bebacked New Zealand	74c	355$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.6	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…cb5bbacked New Zealand	74c	337.84$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9883…859abacked New Zealand	64c	330.98$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.97	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed New Zealand	72c	322$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.2	152	35.5%54 W · 98 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed New Zealand	58c	305$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.9	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium	28c	303.87$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.79	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed New Zealand	74c	300$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Belgium	17c	294.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.51	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Belgium	10c	290$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b7…cd95backed New Zealand	74c	270.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked New Zealand	74c	270.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium	28c	267.86$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Belgium	7c	267.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.05	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked New Zealand	74c	258.84$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.99	428	53.3%228 W · 200 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Belgium	27c	241.18$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.06	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked New Zealand	38c	234.92$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed New Zealand	61c	229.68$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.85	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed New Zealand	74c	219$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.06	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed New Zealand	70c	208.88$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.21	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8041…e69abacked Belgium	49c	206.08$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.1	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked New Zealand	74c	202.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.88	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33b0…a413backed Belgium	50c	201.96$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.98	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	54cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed New Zealand	50c	201.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)this page
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)New Zealand won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)New Zealand won
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: New Zealand (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event