TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd722…0564

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+958.1%+$479.05
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66%+$659.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+466.7%+$466.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$564.04
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$988.3
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$752.38
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,231.03
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+237.6%+$712.84
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.99
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.38
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.46
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.