Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6620da713e756b9508d93161c6c5764a3f3f145e5946b03054be0d7964b8a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,086 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 5c | 10,221$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.65 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 37c | 8,737$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes | 2c | 8,300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes | 7c | 7,392$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.78 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 23c | 7,337$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.68 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d72fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,920$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 6,662$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.04 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 21c | 6,509$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.59 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…62b0backed Yes | 1c | 6,340$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 6,101$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,700$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 6c | 5,137$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 8c | 4,941$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,605$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 4,520$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 1c | 3,714$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 15c | 3,462$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.24 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 28c | 3,018$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.48 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,773$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 71c | 2,371$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…374fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,068$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed Yes | 24c | 1,999$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 30c | 1,777$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.33 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 72c | 1,656$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.84 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…221abacked Yes | 1c | 1,349$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…51b0backed Yes | 23c | 1,268$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,255$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked No | 77c | 1,132$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 995.95$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…8916backed Yes | 42c | 877.92$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 811.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b2…989cbacked Yes | 20c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 4c | 799.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 5c | 771.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 5c | 761.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…3f0abacked Yes | 4c | 475.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 459.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 64c | 452.31$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…491cbacked No | 78c | 428.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 424.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 24c | 412.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…e00abacked Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 15c | 388.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 20c | 372$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 5c | 359.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 5c | 326.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 5c | 319.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 38c | 256.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 38c | 222.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…9c88backed Yes | 5c | 218.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 7c | 199.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 6cpaid | +1,024.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…f93fbacked No | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…804bbacked Yes | 7c | 166.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…5fb5backed No | 74c | 164.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 30c | 157.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed No | 64c | 152.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 67c | 146.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 26c | 133.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 32c | 123.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 32c | 123.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…bfebbacked Yes | 40c | 121.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…e4dabacked Yes | 40c | 120.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 72c | 107.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed Yes | 23c | 99.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…74aebacked Yes | 19c | 99.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…362abacked Yes | 20c | 95.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…05c7backed No | 79c | 87.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 23c | 84.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…780bbacked No | 66c | 77.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…7085backed Yes | 28c | 69.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed No | 61c | 63.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b02…8b3bbacked Yes | 38c | 61.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…51a5backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…bcddbacked No | 68c | 49.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 36c | 48.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e142backed No | 77c | 48.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…76c2backed No | 63c | 46.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…03b5backed Yes | 26c | 45.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…3ab8backed No | 62c | 39.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff5…e5e0backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed No | 75c | 30.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…8b8abacked No | 64c | 29.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…63bcbacked No | 76c | 28.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…0f34backed No | 72c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…e482backed No | 67c | 26.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…44d9backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…f5acbacked No | 73c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 80c | 23.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…4201backed No | 80c | 22.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed No | 66c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.