Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a85e42c13926aed92d0b13662b3e40f5511b3ba58efd7bb5804383a7769278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 3c | 30,209$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.29 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 13c | 12,949$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 12,327$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,229$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 2c | 10,787$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…e8e3backed Yes | 16c | 5,952$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,851$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 3c | 3,885$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,081$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 11c | 2,864$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,847$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 0c | 2,772$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…058dbacked No | 78c | 2,140$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.33 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,009$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…fdcdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…f4bebacked Yes | 5c | 1,757$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…db83backed Yes | 1c | 1,751$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 7c | 1,614$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,492$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 1,476$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 9c | 1,230$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,203$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 12c | 1,193$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,190$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 2c | 1,119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 1,105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 14c | 1,088$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,017$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 999.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 1c | 998.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 998.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…82efbacked Yes | 6c | 998.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 15c | 991.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 15c | 984.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 939.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…bd3abacked Yes | 3c | 854.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 9c | 684.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 3c | 669.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 15c | 652.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…9982backed Yes | 3c | 606.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 18c | 603.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes | 23c | 506.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…a1b3backed No | 79c | 499.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…d5dabacked Yes | 5c | 499.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…b82abacked Yes | 2c | 485.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 3c | 426.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…77dfbacked Yes | 7c | 388.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 382.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…fccbbacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +137%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 33c | 291.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…32f1backed Yes | 10c | 279.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 14c | 269.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 6c | 249.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…0d42backed Yes | 24c | 218.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…4201backed Yes | 9c | 215.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…df7ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 6cpaid | +1,024.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 12c | 173.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 12c | 171.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…9df1backed Yes | 29c | 166.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 71c | 149.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…aca1backed Yes | 25c | 141.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 17c | 134.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…74aebacked Yes | 9c | 131.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 73c | 128.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…050ebacked Yes | 13c | 121.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…884cbacked Yes | 26c | 113.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…d8f2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 79c | 99.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 26c | 88.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…96e3backed Yes | 14c | 87.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…3c27backed Yes | 24c | 83.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 15c | 83.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes | 29c | 73.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…82ebbacked Yes | 22c | 65.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 19c | 51.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e1…944abacked No | 80c | 50.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465d…2576backed Yes | 30c | 49.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 72c | 44.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 71c | 32.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…94cabacked No | 66c | 29.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…3c66backed No | 74c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 75c | 18.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…0d84backed No | 75c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.