TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2224…96e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.42
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+204%+$21.11
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$9.75
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$16.47
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.04
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Flames vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$9.53
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$20.89
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$5.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$34.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59%+$7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$12.86
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$9.47
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.