Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e53f87a9c7fdad099e08f0b79fa4a16e581ce22c04061cabd2a8e7a6cf3a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,583 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 50c | 20,469$10,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,141.51 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Team Yandex | 59c | 15,771$9,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 8c | 11,489$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.23 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 73c | 11,386$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.67 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 42c | 11,099$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.63 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 44c | 10,380$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.32 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 49c | 10,004$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.14 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 9,163$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.8 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Aurora | 23c | 8,036$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.89 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora | 50c | 5,854$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 68c | 5,429$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.82 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Aurora | 48c | 5,230$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.98 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 28c | 5,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 7c | 4,344$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.16 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Aurora | 1c | 3,900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 32c | 3,895$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.3 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 23c | 3,196$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 33c | 3,013$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,584$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.87 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 30c | 2,553$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.89 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 2,084$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.31 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Yandex | 65c | 2,039$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.48 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Aurora | 51c | 1,954$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.95 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora | 20c | 1,640$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 21c | 1,547$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 46c | 1,538$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.16 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora | 1c | 1,477$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,470$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,255$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.32 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 76c | 1,096$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 987.22$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Aurora | 21c | 956.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Aurora | 33c | 875.81$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Aurora | 2c | 829.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Aurora | 43c | 778.63$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 33c | 774.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…87c3backed Aurora | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 15c | 732.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Yandex | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Aurora | 38c | 685.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 683.38$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 43c | 665.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 7c | 663.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Aurora | 29c | 626.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 72c | 616.73$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Aurora | 26c | 545.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Aurora | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 55c | 468.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 22c | 454.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Aurora | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 36c | 391.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 65c | 382.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 15c | 378.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Yandex | 48c | 358.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 356.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Yandex | 55c | 352.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Aurora | 3c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 32c | 342.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 33c | 312.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Aurora | 35c | 305.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Yandex | 67c | 300.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Yandex | 56c | 299.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 289.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Aurora | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Aurora | 6c | 274.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Aurora | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 44c | 271$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 12c | 264.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Aurora | 12c | 261.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 42c | 242.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Yandex | 51c | 238.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Yandex | 67c | 236.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Aurora | 26c | 228.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Aurora | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Aurora | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Aurora | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Yandex | 51c | 197.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Yandex | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 169.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aurora | 19c | 166.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Aurora | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…b959backed Aurora | 21c | 153.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Team Yandex | 50c | 139.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Aurora | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Aurora | 25c | 116.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Aurora | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.