Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4fbc83ce70ccc637dc7fa602ff09bff4315eeac9d5d33c7c26640bc367d97b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,093,155 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 48c | 134,166$64,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,704.83 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 51c | 57,668$29,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,038.81 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 51c | 37,174$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,373.6 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 52c | 32,713$17,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,546.97 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex | 55c | 25,113$13,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,409.91 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Team Yandex | 49c | 23,886$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,183.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Aurora | 50c | 21,215$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.81 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 54c | 13,909$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.06 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora | 51c | 12,731$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.57 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…6e72backed Aurora | 21c | 12,034$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 43c | 11,947$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.49 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 10,392$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.4 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 33c | 9,843$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 24c | 9,503$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.1 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 8,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 50c | 8,000$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.32 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Aurora | 24c | 7,734$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.74 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 49c | 7,140$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.64 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 47c | 7,072$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.5 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aurora | 20c | 7,047$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.38 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…404fbacked Aurora | 46c | 6,536$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…684ebacked Team Yandex | 71c | 6,347$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 6,125$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.54 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora | 50c | 6,098$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.92 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 6,088$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.66 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Aurora | 47c | 5,940$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.18 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 5,804$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.03 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora | 50c | 5,788$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 10c | 5,697$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.11 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 35c | 5,285$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.66 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 5,117$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.5 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Aurora | 21c | 5,072$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.05 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.66 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aurora | 36c | 4,601$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.32 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Yandex | 51c | 4,096$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.04 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,000$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 27c | 4,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora | 30c | 3,900$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex | 76c | 3,841$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.42 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 3,576$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,531$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed Team Yandex | 73c | 3,507$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,065$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.55 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked Aurora | 50c | 2,997$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Aurora | 49c | 2,907$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.32 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 31c | 2,886$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.86 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex | 53c | 2,822$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.69 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Aurora | 50c | 2,578$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aurora | 40c | 2,530$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.68 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,500$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.02 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 41c | 2,490$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.84 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,400$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.88 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Aurora | 51c | 2,354$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1e59backed Aurora | 52c | 2,274$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 71c | 2,267$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.62 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 64c | 2,230$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 50c | 2,220$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.03 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,220$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 2,200$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Aurora | 17c | 2,173$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 48c | 2,132$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.36 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Aurora | 21c | 2,106$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Yandex | 58c | 2,066$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.21 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 36c | 2,001$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.17 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…184dbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,000$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.4 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora | 52c | 1,971$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.13 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.04 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Aurora | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,933$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.5 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Aurora | 7c | 1,919$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,909$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.09 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,908$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,885$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.01 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 23c | 1,876$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.43 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 71c | 1,875$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.43 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…e0a5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,868$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 49c | 1,850$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.49 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 34c | 1,846$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,811$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.55 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 15c | 1,808$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,780$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Aurora | 51c | 1,777$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora | 52c | 1,769$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.51 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 1,767$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.01 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,764$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.08 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Aurora | 53c | 1,758$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.41 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,750$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.64 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 44c | 1,727$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.92 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora | 47c | 1,694$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,690$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,676$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.01 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.