Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb3343241686a30da3d7b0cadb75d85fef5420749e8f1fdba77f00079b161ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 52c | 43,680$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 48c | 30,313$14,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,713.74 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 44c | 24,404$10,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,635.33 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 20,525$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.47 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 51c | 14,449$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.28 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex | 47c | 12,138$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aurora | 53c | 10,612$5,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.93 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Aurora | 52c | 10,573$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.88 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 9,714$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.47 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 8,143$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 52c | 8,142$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 48c | 7,731$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.41 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Aurora | 56c | 7,349$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.65 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 52c | 7,312$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.77 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 56c | 6,110$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.43 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Aurora | 47c | 5,916$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.37 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Aurora | 35c | 5,088$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.1 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Yandex | 52c | 4,831$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.95 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 4,137$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 3,939$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.13 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 53c | 3,934$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Aurora | 61c | 3,907$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.65 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Aurora | 54c | 3,906$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Aurora | 59c | 3,857$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.43 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,763$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.25 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Team Yandex | 54c | 3,727$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 54c | 3,661$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 54c | 2,743$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.56 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 31c | 2,558$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.37 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 2,483$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex | 46c | 2,439$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.79 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora | 50c | 2,400$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Aurora | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.43 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,264$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.02 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 53c | 2,260$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.25 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex | 45c | 2,182$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Aurora | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 45c | 2,099$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 53c | 1,938$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.42 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Aurora | 54c | 1,900$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 51c | 1,784$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 50c | 1,768$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.4 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Aurora | 48c | 1,642$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,553$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.79 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,536$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 53c | 1,500$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 30c | 1,429$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.49 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 1,268$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.12 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,259$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Yandex | 43c | 1,252$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.01 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.15 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 35c | 1,193$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,124$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Aurora | 73c | 1,105$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,098$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.58 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,051$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Yandex | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Yandex | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Yandex | 15c | 996.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 61c | 994.3$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.97 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Aurora | 49c | 980.78$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.2 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex | 59c | 972.38$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 53c | 951.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.51 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex | 3c | 940$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Yandex | 39c | 912.11$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 891.03$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Yandex | 40c | 874.23$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Aurora | 59c | 853.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.47 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Aurora | 48c | 830.3$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.76 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…2540backed Aurora | 60c | 829.27$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Aurora | 56c | 799.87$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.94 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Aurora | 78c | 763.15$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Aurora | 48c | 743.75$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 718.53$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 40c | 703.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Team Yandex | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Aurora | 57c | 654.67$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Team Yandex | 44c | 653.51$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Aurora | 55c | 648.66$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Team Yandex | 28c | 636.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Aurora | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 597.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora | 60c | 590.8$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex | 6c | 580$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Aurora | 59c | 573.45$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb183…0badbacked Aurora | 68c | 557.52$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 548.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Aurora | 44c | 545.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Aurora | 61c | 545$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.