TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c6…4cf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13951.8%72 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,318.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,218.35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,094
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$431.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$115.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$89.1
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.9
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.79
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$61.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$46.54
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$240.12
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.95
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$134
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$451.99
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$262.99
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$543.72
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.85
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$500
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420.32
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.86
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47.77
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$512.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,092
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$298.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.5%+$198.31
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF to score first vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.