CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcd4c59ef8d32b1cd321a4c11f0d6246f3b33dc770e6d64ea5e80356c353105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Lavked, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Lavked | 18c | 1,269$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Lavked | 26c | 1,251$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Lavked | 15c | 652.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HAVU | 72c | 613.66$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed HAVU | 69c | 498.19$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 24c | 329.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lavked | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 31c | 252.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HAVU | 74c | 236$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed HAVU | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 36c | 166$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Lavked | 22c | 113.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Lavked | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HAVU | 78c | 105.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Lavked | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Lavked | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HAVU | 49c | 87.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed HAVU | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed HAVU | 42c | 59.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0595…83d8backed HAVU | 79c | 58.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Lavked | 26c | 57.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 25c | 56.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HAVU | 76c | 47.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Lavked | 44c | 47.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…0113backed HAVU | 70c | 41.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HAVU | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed HAVU | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f6acbacked HAVU | 80c | 33.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HAVU | 55c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed HAVU | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Lavked | 59c | 28.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked HAVU | 41c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed HAVU | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed HAVU | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHAVU won
- Map Handicap: HAVU (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)HAVU won
- Map Handicap: LVKD (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)HAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.