TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc75d…0717

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT28743.2%124 W · 163 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 287 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$43.07
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+222.3%+$89.67
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.89
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.8
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.84
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.9
Counter-Strike: mellren vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.76
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$196.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.84
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked IMHOWeRGOAT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$95.35
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked IMHOWeRGOAT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.69
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$136.52
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$234.4
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$130.15
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color - Map 1 Winnerbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.84
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked Younglings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.69
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Younglings - Map 2 Winnerbacked Younglings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Showing 25 of 287 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.73
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68.41
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$171.65
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.5
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$1,121.94
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$160.64
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.77
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$428.36
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$475
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.42
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$674.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$208.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 Winnerbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viborg FF vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.