CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833f7b82dda61d54db8e0c7b4faab0407292647f7db88802fab6058068ed9342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof 100 Thieves, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 18,796$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,502.01 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 18,665$11,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,382.6 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 10,441$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.12 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 8,721$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 4,948$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 4,385$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.95 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 3,983$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.77 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 3,301$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.96 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 2,009$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 1,767$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.78 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,750$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 1,524$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.14 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 1,446$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.16 | 254 | 42.1%107 W · 147 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,433$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 1,288$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.11 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.99 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 1,139$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 1,037$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.85 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 982.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.79 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 967.01$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 849.99$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.49 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 793.75$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.62 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 725.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 694.67$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 640$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 624.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 599.98$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 578$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 575$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 306 | 22.9%70 W · 236 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 530.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.53 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Eternal Fire | 20c | 517$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 515$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 460.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 459.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Eternal Fire | 28c | 426.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.58 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 419.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 409.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.17 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 405.95$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.13 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 404.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 361.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 353.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 352.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.06 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Eternal Fire | 21c | 350$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 349.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 347.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 334.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 321.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 305.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 266.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 263$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.03 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 242.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Eternal Fire | 21c | 227.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 224.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 223.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…848abacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 214.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 213$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 212.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 199.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 197.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 188.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 184.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 179.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 170.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 165$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 161.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 158.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 153.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 149.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 145.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 142.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…617abacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 129.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 118.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 112.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 109.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…5e19backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 104.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 100.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 476 | 65.1%310 W · 166 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Eternal Fire | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…9bcfbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 98.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…fb0abacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 92.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.