CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82b9e62315fdcc6d70575aa40c89eda44a552b91e2d1093389cbc38c6fd547d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.74 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.37 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 879.99$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 838.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 543$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 499.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 440.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 417.01$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 350.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 404 | 39.6%160 W · 244 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 226.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 221.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 197.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 179.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 159.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 136.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 117.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 361 | 46.8%169 W · 192 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 104.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 470 | 65.1%306 W · 164 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 77.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…9634backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 66.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 57.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 51.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 50.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 49.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Eternal Fire | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 47.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 328 | 61.9%203 W · 125 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 45.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 336 | 69.6%234 W · 102 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 21.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.