TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe888…0364

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Stocks, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Stocks at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.23
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$638.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$657
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$686
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110.05
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$861.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$207.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+94.9%+$98.84
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$270.9
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$282
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$280
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$236
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$1,008.19
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Phantom (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,175.82
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$1,078.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$935.64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$498.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$157.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$748.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$259.64
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+148.3%+$148.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.