CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Phantom (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a93d47adb0cb56506ef4d3d467171e2df77ad6902254eb99689a4f1c4489195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd21…d84dbacked Phantom | 1c | 9,987$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Phantom | 45c | 1,731$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.8 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked Phantom | 54c | 1,336$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Acend | 46c | 1,318$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.68 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Acend | 75c | 1,239$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Phantom | 23c | 1,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…0364backed Phantom | 57c | 880.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Acend | 63c | 649.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Acend | 79c | 572.36$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Acend | 60c | 549.7$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Phantom | 59c | 506.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 50c | 501.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 49c | 416.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Acend | 43c | 394.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Acend | 51c | 318.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 36c | 303.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Acend | 50c | 301.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Phantom | 37c | 271.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom | 33c | 264.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Phantom | 42c | 254$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 42c | 252.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Phantom | 42c | 251.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Phantom | 23c | 232.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Phantom | 21c | 220.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Acend | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Phantom | 35c | 194$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 60c | 173.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Phantom | 48c | 153.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 41c | 152$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Phantom | 65c | 151.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Acend | 52c | 147.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Phantom | 21c | 131.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Acend | 51c | 126.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Acend | 61c | 118.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Phantom | 12c | 116.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Acend | 56c | 114.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Acend | 59c | 111.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Phantom | 64c | 107.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Acend | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Acend | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…6f23backed Acend | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Acend | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Acend | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 45c | 98.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Phantom | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 39c | 89.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Phantom | 27c | 89.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Phantom | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Phantom | 52c | 79.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Phantom | 55c | 78.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Acend | 45c | 74.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom | 33c | 73.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Acend | 50c | 68.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Acend | 18c | 64.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Acend | 45c | 64.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Phantom | 55c | 64.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Acend | 42c | 54.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Phantom | 25c | 51.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Phantom | 31c | 50.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Acend | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Acend | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Acend | 67c | 47.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Acend | 43c | 46.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Acend | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 42c | 41.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Phantom | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Acend | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Phantom | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Acend | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Acend | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa101…8377backed Acend | 76c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.