Stocks · resolved market
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,813,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,941,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,813,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59ae…22d5backed Yes | 0c | 20,278,770$96,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,067.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 0c | 14,191,092$48,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,302.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 11,500,776$76,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,414.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…0ef0backed Yes | 0c | 9,961,829$34,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,285.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 0c | 7,972,569$8,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,115.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes | 0c | 5,112,480$10,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,224.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Yes | 0c | 4,989,584$22,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,023.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,903,915$24,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,231.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,346,881$12,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,508.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…0c9abacked Yes | 0c | 4,292,981$16,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,686.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 0c | 4,080,565$20,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,174.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…77f1backed Yes | 0c | 4,043,896$19,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,205.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…2cd9backed Yes | 1c | 4,000,000$32,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,084.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…6f1dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,818,141$28,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,056.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 3,606,287$24,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,604.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,200,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,061,623$17,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,520.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…0a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,847,051$20,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,377.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…6952backed Yes | 1c | 2,644,756$26,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,883.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 1c | 2,450,404$16,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,412.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…da63backed Yes | 0c | 2,380,480$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 78c | 2,360,885$1,836,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524,334.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb3…2952backed Yes | 0c | 2,247,829$8,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…9e4ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,131,790$14,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,457.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…b834backed Yes | 1c | 1,921,406$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1f13backed Yes | 0c | 1,756,163$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 2c | 1,716,230$39,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,638.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…f8e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,686,667$20,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,760.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…87b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,557,421$8,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,523,825$20,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,411.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…f4acbacked Yes | 0c | 1,508,161$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 0c | 1,505,000$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…ca2cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,500,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…fb93backed Yes | 5c | 1,473,681$70,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,684.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…f2c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,435,672$14,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,286.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Yes | 0c | 1,400,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…315fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,182,059$6,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…025ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,173,787$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 0c | 1,171,779$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,170,297$56,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,536.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…d9bbbacked Yes | 0c | 1,165,176$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…50dfbacked Yes | 0c | 1,163,037$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…59a3backed Yes | 0c | 1,152,900$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,127,863$19,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,949.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,123,331$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…d680backed Yes | 0c | 1,103,634$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,089,264$24,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,896.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Yes | 1c | 1,086,459$8,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,972.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…d424backed Yes | 1c | 1,025,529$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,729.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,010,973$8,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,087.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…1ef7backed Yes | 0c | 1,009,209$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…0dd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,003,083$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…ea67backed Yes | 0c | 1,002,812$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…7a0ebacked Yes | 0c | 986,699$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 1c | 985,629$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…44f2backed Yes | 1c | 981,523$7,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 916,603$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…0856backed Yes | 0c | 897,790$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…f15ebacked Yes | 0c | 842,595$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…4202backed Yes | 0c | 832,981$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 5c | 832,603$42,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,461.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495e…9a96backed Yes | 1c | 807,388$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Yes | 0c | 784,133$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…d7eebacked Yes | 1c | 778,253$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,194.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…a539backed Yes | 1c | 730,115$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…b5b6backed Yes | 74c | 725,959$534,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534,202.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…a70abacked Yes | 0c | 721,173$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…1aa9backed Yes | 0c | 717,845$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…d2fdbacked Yes | 1c | 700,000$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…3707backed Yes | 1c | 698,740$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Yes | 1c | 671,267$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…8fc3backed Yes | 1c | 640,207$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…83aabacked Yes | 0c | 635,101$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…f82bbacked Yes | 0c | 618,599$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…94b2backed Yes | 0c | 618,180$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…43eebacked Yes | 1c | 617,158$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…ca7bbacked Yes | 0c | 607,210$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed Yes | 1c | 605,774$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,873.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8487backed Yes | 0c | 604,752$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 1c | 600,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…25e7backed Yes | 0c | 579,919$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…92e3backed Yes | 0c | 575,974$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 44c | 561,289$249,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,559.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…89febacked Yes | 1c | 553,740$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…3f47backed Yes | 1c | 549,355$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 6c | 534,966$34,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,549.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Yes | 0c | 533,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…2fd7backed Yes | 0c | 526,117$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…d1febacked Yes | 0c | 524,455$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…a3b6backed Yes | 0c | 517,583$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…6208backed Yes | 2c | 517,544$12,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,787.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…a667backed Yes | 1c | 503,516$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked Yes | 1c | 501,550$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…53bebacked Yes | 1c | 500,000$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…5201backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…41d1backed Yes | 0c | 493,803$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…e013backed Yes | 0c | 491,453$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…e8b8backed Yes | 0c | 480,777$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52a…68fdbacked Yes | 1c | 480,175$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…bf7dbacked Yes | 0c | 479,500$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?this page
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.