Stocks · resolved market
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ee98e348c0ccb341d1b9566fa14521566e9b2ea7aed34dc407a0ec56be36a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,976,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,902,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,976,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,850,377$11,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,506.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Yes | 0c | 1,033,410$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0b7ebacked Yes | 0c | 915,467$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…d207backed Yes | 5c | 599,895$29,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,394.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…482ebacked Yes | 2c | 502,409$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,767.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Yes | 0c | 404,268$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722d…993ebacked Yes | 1c | 184,001$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked Yes | 0c | 154,999$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…4a51backed Yes | 1c | 145,381$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 1c | 141,661$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 1c | 125,955$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d7bcbacked Yes | 1c | 123,229$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…46bdbacked Yes | 1c | 111,126$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…1a75backed Yes | 1c | 106,847$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…70e9backed Yes | 0c | 100,247$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…238bbacked Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 88,878$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…2bf3backed Yes | 0c | 84,367$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…45ebbacked Yes | 1c | 82,119$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053c…cdc0backed Yes | 1c | 78,365$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 1c | 78,000$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…09c8backed Yes | 16c | 71,689$11,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,470.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Yes | 7c | 66,862$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed Yes | 0c | 64,940$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…8784backed Yes | 2c | 61,145$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…4b22backed Yes | 2c | 60,635$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…2dccbacked Yes | 2c | 56,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35d…2e3dbacked Yes | 0c | 52,966$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…b847backed Yes | 1c | 50,122$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…02c8backed Yes | 2c | 50,075$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 2c | 47,803$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 1c | 45,213$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 38,832$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…7127backed Yes | 5c | 37,353$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 2cpaid | +693.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Yes | 4c | 33,767$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa327…01e9backed Yes | 2c | 32,470$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…3d52backed Yes | 1c | 30,666$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…faeabacked Yes | 1c | 30,052$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…5b8fbacked Yes | 1c | 28,637$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 2c | 27,192$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…89ddbacked Yes | 4c | 26,117$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…ef37backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…5b68backed Yes | 2c | 24,959$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…c2fcbacked Yes | 4c | 22,901$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…672dbacked Yes | 5c | 22,769$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2e1ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,210$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…c6d5backed Yes | 1c | 22,066$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…c395backed Yes | 4c | 21,838$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8763…4c54backed Yes | 0c | 21,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 2c | 21,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…fba2backed Yes | 1c | 20,096$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…81fdbacked Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 28c | 19,467$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 18c | 19,359$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,755$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…57b9backed Yes | 3c | 17,678$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…ca4bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…26acbacked Yes | 2c | 15,293$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,146$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 1c | 15,074$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 5c | 15,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…198fbacked Yes | 5c | 15,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 9c | 14,911$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…139cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,651$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 11c | 14,423$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a5…3415backed Yes | 1c | 14,214$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 6c | 13,909$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…dda3backed Yes | 3c | 13,826$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…610cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,608$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…5820backed Yes | 0c | 13,147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…7e18backed Yes | 8c | 13,100$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…ce8fbacked Yes | 3c | 12,951$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…ec28backed Yes | 2c | 12,857$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…8326backed Yes | 1c | 12,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…28e9backed Yes | 5c | 12,463$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…ccffbacked Yes | 1c | 12,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +213.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 12,226$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…7309backed Yes | 1c | 12,157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…d3f0backed Yes | 2c | 12,154$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…7f1fbacked Yes | 3c | 12,047$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 11c | 11,853$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 19cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked Yes | 2c | 11,495$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…6163backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346b…d70fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,664$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…8491backed Yes | 2c | 10,527$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Yes | 19c | 10,381$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 73c | 10,314$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 2c | 10,300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…a8e7backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…9e2abacked Yes | 1c | 9,885$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b75…491fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,797$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…4af8backed Yes | 0c | 9,580$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,430$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 5c | 9,291$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.37 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 5c | 9,263$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…2aa7backed Yes | 17c | 9,136$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 70c | 9,000$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?this page
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No won
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.