TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e04…7127

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reyes/Tabilobacked Nys/Roger-Vasselin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandezbacked Luca Castelnuovo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demolinerbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Sumit Nagalbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$20.2
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.96
Centurion: Yusuke Takahashi vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$12.22
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$21.74
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$15.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.5%+$6.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$13.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.9%+$26.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or higher on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Malibacked Cameroon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.