TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Polona Hercogof Yufei Ren, Polona Hercog
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef1b…8697backed Yufei Ren23c19,198$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4007236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yufei Ren8c12,764$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Polona Hercog49c12,353$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,35348851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yufei Ren33c10,577$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Polona Hercog79c6,500$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34514343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Polona Hercog66c5,170$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.938,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yufei Ren44c4,015$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yufei Ren22c3,015$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.873,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yufei Ren50c2,777$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38811843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yufei Ren28c2,536$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.226,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yufei Ren28c2,387$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.522,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Polona Hercog68c1,736$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.995,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Polona Hercog77c1,443$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8617452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yufei Ren21c1,412$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.44,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Yufei Ren13c1,342$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1717810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Polona Hercog76c1,340$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3941060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Polona Hercog76c1,079$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.862347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yufei Ren24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Yufei Ren23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Polona Hercog79c949.37$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Polona Hercog48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yufei Ren30c890.43$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2480341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Yufei Ren15c794.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209041.1%37 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…615bbacked Yufei Ren55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Polona Hercog64c532$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0710655.7%59 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yufei Ren31c515.72$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.443449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Polona Hercog75c513.06$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.073,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Polona Hercog77c500$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.545445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Polona Hercog58c396.55$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.551,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Polona Hercog53c376.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…4af3backed Polona Hercog66c357.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.19966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yufei Ren28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yufei Ren20c350.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.884,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb962…8519backed Yufei Ren48c324.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.932733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Polona Hercog48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.58454.8%46 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e9…1587backed Polona Hercog68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1210462.5%65 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Polona Hercog69c299.03$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3822337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yufei Ren35c294.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.810847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yufei Ren25c260.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Yufei Ren35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905022%11 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yufei Ren40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4744…ea27backed Yufei Ren41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Yufei Ren43c230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.94344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yufei Ren35c227.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Polona Hercog64c211$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9654249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Polona Hercog63c209.22$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Polona Hercog76c189.71$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.959,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yufei Ren18c174.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yufei Ren31c163.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2683047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Polona Hercog71c154.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Polona Hercog64c150.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8327846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Yufei Ren22c137.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7418330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yufei Ren38c133.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yufei Ren26c129.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7542344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yufei Ren23c126.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1115040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Yufei Ren16c125.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1f3…bbf5backed Yufei Ren53c121.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed Polona Hercog62c113$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Polona Hercog74c107.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yufei Ren40c105.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Yufei Ren25c103.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.993423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Polona Hercog71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yufei Ren27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Polona Hercog78c99.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yufei Ren15c99.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8884640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649d…8548backed Yufei Ren28c91.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Polona Hercog64c87.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6612053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Polona Hercog73c87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Yufei Ren42c86.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…91dabacked Polona Hercog77c83.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.561080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Polona Hercog53c82.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Polona Hercog61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9781256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e04…7127backed Polona Hercog61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Yufei Ren49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Polona Hercog61c72.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0165264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Polona Hercog70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4359965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yufei Ren23c71.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.586,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yufei Ren22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Polona Hercog60c66.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6826953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…8d32backed Yufei Ren22c64.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yufei Ren40c58.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x38b5…d40dbacked Polona Hercog55c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Polona Hercog67c55.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1520957.9%121 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca70…263cbacked Polona Hercog58c54.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yufei Ren38c53.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4156817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Polona Hercog70c52.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9879951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yufei Ren40c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3327247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Polona Hercog74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…69abbacked Polona Hercog72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1e…fa23backed Yufei Ren22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Polona Hercog72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Polona Hercog78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yufei Ren49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb563…9f57backed Polona Hercog77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Yufei Ren40c49.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Yufei Ren49c49.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9bf…0f92backed Polona Hercog72c45.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Polona Hercog51c44.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9122953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yufei Ren45c44.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8130672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yufei Ren29c43.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.492,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.