TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ee…e28c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT8848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$919.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$163.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.91
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$293.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$287.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$402.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$326.47
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$109.78
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$542.53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.82
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$186
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.59
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.82
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.99
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.99
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$113.41
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$71.02
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick76cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$152.98
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$586.14
Will Slavia Praha vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,825.8
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$442.11
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$192.74
Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,490.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercogbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$64.72
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Sofya Lanserebacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
La Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.99
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,827Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+27%+$1,032.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.