TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No5c13,166$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.527,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No23c8,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes77c4,941$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.4492043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes77c4,545$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.459450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No24c4,371$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.035324.5%13 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No23c2,400$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes79c1,910$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1331860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes76c1,842$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.032,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No22c1,163$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7120632%66 W · 140 L-17.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Yes78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes77c668.83$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.723036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No23c610.42$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.461,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No23c590.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9110057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No23c520$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.614050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes77c496.07$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.126549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No23c492.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.011,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No23c480$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.47152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes76c447.02$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.281,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No23c435$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0526853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes78c410.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.411,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No23c352.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.461,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No7c299.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218241.8%76 W · 106 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes76c285.35$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4854650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No23c243.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.741,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No14c241.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9330646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…b5c5backed Yes78c210.26$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4735154.7%192 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No23c199.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.893545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad50…1d19backed Yes77c193.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes77c193.03$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No23c173.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8910753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes78c169.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.357075.7%53 W · 17 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x650a…0f82backed Yes76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+115.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No22c153.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.83650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012443.5%54 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes78c128.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes78c127.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9523256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67659.2%45 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No23c114$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2413628.7%39 W · 97 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf47…6c2ebacked No22c106.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes77c99.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No22c92.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6220550.7%104 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No23c89.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.693333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3636…1a57backed Yes79c89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.691989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No13c87.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3734358.9%202 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208356.6%47 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No23c85.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.614548.9%22 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes76c84.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1977350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes77c77.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.823756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.949260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de6…9b47backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No22c51.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2927352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb05f…eeb2backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4373…6d1cbacked Yes78c47.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec17…5c42backed Yes76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e57…3464backed Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc415…afc8backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0d…2897backed Yes78c35.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Yes78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6428…db0fbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617d…90cfbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612f…468cbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844f…e978backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes77c23.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Yes78c20.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.431258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.488782.8%72 W · 15 L+10.5wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.234100%4 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea65…aa4dbacked Yes77c18.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cc…bb38backed Yes78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95c…bc09backed Yes77c14.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked Yes78c13.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.011346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick75cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.