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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Team Falcons79c33,371$26,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.8822754.6%124 W · 103 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Monte19c26,986$5,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.5231326.2%82 W · 231 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Monte21c15,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15079752.7%420 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Monte20c10,529$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.7172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Monte21c10,499$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Team Falcons79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9937257.8%215 W · 157 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Monte21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte15c9,387$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.721,63844.6%731 W · 907 L+3.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Monte21c8,366$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.8417858.4%104 W · 74 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons79c6,941$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.5125561.6%157 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte22c5,889$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.5791147.5%433 W · 478 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Monte4c5,646$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte18c4,959$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.351,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Monte17c4,572$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.5420249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte22c4,416$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.881,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte21c4,012$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.742,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Monte14c4,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Monte17c3,636$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1135031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons80c3,044$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.843250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons79c3,038$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.9723354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Monte20c2,674$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.214247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Monte21c2,660$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.5622245.9%102 W · 120 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Team Falcons79c2,588$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Falcons79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.724957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed Team Falcons79c2,507$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.35543.6%24 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed Team Falcons79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.992070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Monte21c2,311$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6340140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Monte10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Monte21c2,009$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.895837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Monte16c2,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.532,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Team Falcons75c1,976$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.956464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Monte10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.993528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Monte21c1,413$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.491,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Team Falcons80c1,400$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Monte20c1,240$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25355843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Monte21c1,229$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.129642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Team Falcons80c1,219$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8312852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Monte9c1,211$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Team Falcons79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.95,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Monte1c1,095$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5228443.7%124 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b9…cedcbacked Team Falcons79c1,079$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.68867%59 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Monte26c1,063$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3616920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Monte21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019643.4%85 W · 111 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed Team Falcons80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Falcons72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803,27451.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L+91.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102,26247.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons71c1,000$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.324,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed Team Falcons80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Monte21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Monte21c985.62$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.986639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Team Falcons79c971.34$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9813065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Monte21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027951.3%143 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons79c938.23$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0321659.7%129 W · 87 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons77c924.3$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.051,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Monte19c886.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4948319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Monte21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020228.7%58 W · 144 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…e152backed Team Falcons78c688.46$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick72cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Monte26c685.43$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4443855%241 W · 197 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons72c659.52$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.671,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Team Falcons80c657$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.410062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Monte2c635$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2530335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf2…09b6backed Team Falcons80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Monte9c622$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Monte17c600$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.761,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Monte17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Team Falcons79c585.68$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9913053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Monte19c580.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.742,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Monte6c554.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4115052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Monte17c517.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0442454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Team Falcons76c513.1$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.171,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Monte21c505$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0515740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Monte21c501$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2128243.6%123 W · 159 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Monte19c501$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Team Falcons79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1058933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb74…1d50backed Team Falcons79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Monte20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18448%568 W · 616 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Team Falcons78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Monte14c497.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.952,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…5919backed Monte19c480.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Monte21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.829851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b67…e56cbacked Monte28c463.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Monte22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017047.1%80 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons78c443.34$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5372846.3%337 W · 391 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Team Falcons80c437.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.548562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Monte20c433.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.521,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte15c430.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Monte16c430$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.318338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Team Falcons78c409$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.982055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Monte5c408.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Falcons79c408.26$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2671071.7%509 W · 201 L+123.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Team Falcons79c388.32$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Monte18c367.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6398840.7%402 W · 586 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte11c362.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked Team Falcons80c350$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Team Falcons78c350$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.